Yield curve there are many, such as government bonds, the benchmark yield curve, deposit yield curve, interest rate swaps and credit yield curve yield curve (credit curves) and so on. Benchmark yield curve and other securities on the market of reference, the securities must be consistent with liquidity, size, price, availability, velocity and other characteristics of the standard.

Yield curve is not static, at any time can happen fast changes. For example, the central bank officials in a few words can lead to higher inflation expectations, so that long-term bond prices have fallen faster than short-term bonds.

Under normal circumstances, the yield curve rising from left to right, because the longer term rate of return would be higher to reflect the investment risks and increase with the lengthening period of the case. Of such yield curve, if it increases in long-term yields higher than short-term rate of return, yield curve becomes steeper.

Inversion of the yield curve is a decline from left to right, reflecting the short-term rate of return higher than the long-term rate of return anomalies. This may be because investors expect the inflation rate to decline in the long run, or the supply of bonds will be substantially reduced, both the expected rate of return will be down.
    
    On interest rates, financial commentators often said that the interest rate path, or down, as if every move in interest rates are the same. In fact, if a different year bonds, the interest rate trend will be different, a long period of interest rate and short term interest rate movements can be split. The most important thing is the overall yield curve shape and curve on the economy or market trends in the future inspiration.

Would like to find out interest rates from the yield curve traces of the investors and companies are closely observe the shape of the curve. Yield curve is based, is that you buy in the near future, medium and long-term treasury bonds, the proceeds after the rate of return. Curves allows you to get back in accordance with holders of bonds until the principal amount of the year, to compare bond yields.

The shape of yield curve is based on the straight shaft connected to a different point of Treasury bond yields as well as in the horizontal axis of the bond formed-year point. Now you can see above a bit steep yield curve, in which year bonds yield more than three-month short-term treasury bonds is nearly. The difference between these two types of bonds are usually about, if the difference between the percentage of higher than this, that said the economy is expected to improve in the future.

Steep yield curve in general appeared in pace with the economic recession of the early stage of economic expansion. At this point, economic stagnation and short-term interest rates have been suppressed, but the One once to re-establish the growth of economic activity the demand for capital, and the fear of inflation, interest rates generally began to rise.

Traditionally, the inverted curve, said the economy would soon slow down. Financial institutions such as banks typically borrow short-term interest rates and will be a long-term lending money. Generally speaking, when the long-term rates higher than short-term interest rates and relatively high between the two, in this case, the bank’s loans are usually low. In general, the lower the amount of corporate lending will lead to credit crunch, business is slow, and economic decline.

This is a typical view. The latest case is different, and perhaps more complex than ever. Recent decline in U.S. Treasury long-term bonds issued, and in the past few years, when the first time in budget surpluses over the years in Washington to begin paying some of the long-term bonds have not been paid.

Reduce the long-term bond issuance prompted investors to buy longer-term bonds, and thus raised the long-term bond prices and lowered its rate of return, the question arose inverted curve. Bond prices and yields the opposite direction. However, the year the Federal Reserve interest rate cut carried out radical measures in the case of short-term rates down, return to the traditional increase in yield curve shape.

Foreign agent, the preferred MG. Welcome foreign fans to discuss ~
Personal communication QQ: 1400920812
QQ Exchange Group: 45.40918 million
Free Hotline :400-699-0212

The foreign exchange market 24 hours of continuous operation, up or Change, does not stand still. Its trend as the day and night on earth conversion, again and again. Correspondingly, we can be divided into exchange-rate movements of the stock market bottomed, up, building the head and fell four stages. These patterns we can observe the exchange rate charts, such as commonly used to determine the K-line graph.

1, bottomed stage. Exchange rate bottomed shape generally have triple bottom, head and shoulders bottom, double bottom (W end) and the semicircle at the end (bottom), etc.. The bottom of the horizontal area of the larger building, representing the cumulative kinetic energy increases more the greater the rate of rise. At this stage, should be carried out buy low and sell high range operations, such as conservative, the stage may be waived by the profitability of the opportunity and fighting the next phase.

2, up stage. When the exchange rate at the bottom of the neckline break early on the trend indicates an increase in the beginning, and the increase in height is usually at the bottom of the vertical height of the early. This stage as an energetic young man, desperate to live forward setting and ran away, Tiaode Gao, although there is no difficulty as long as the stamina, but a break will be able to set off again, just like the main stage of the rising Quotes, magnitude large and fast, although the continued upward pressure on long But when a little correction as long as the order will be able to immediately re-launch a new round of upside. The initial period of this phase should be to our brave chase the best time to buy. Rising phase is also our main source of profitability.

Third, build the first phase. Is the rise in the late stage. Quotes trend upward again this time attempting to push up but the effort has been exhausted long before the wave can not break through the high points, the final break through the neckline down to the completion of the head and into the fall phase. At this stage, early and long-term pay should be shot, short-term to try to do Kuaijinkuaichu range operations.

4, down stage. And a rising phase as simple as that, but in the opposite direction. At this stage to lose morale and inability to support the exchange rate fell rapidly until the rate of kinetic energy disappears into the bottomed stage. Decline phase should be strong sell into the rapid stop of the stop-loss, or costly.

   Attention to the root zone “new” K-Line

   Like many people who do not accept the chart, I also had a lot of technology after the failure of useless things, because technology, recognized the need for a foundation, out of two-way to judge will result in the loss part of the time, tend to become a major Quotes little opportunity, if the miscarriage of justice from taking even one several times, losses are inevitable. To this end, I would push back, to revert to the most simple graph K-line and constitute the K-line on each of the transaction amount.

   Most of the transaction and K lines are neutral, there is no interpretation of the meaning, and only decided to change direction and brewing some of it deserved attention. Therefore, we need a concept to filter, it is the word “new”: new directions, new prices, new range, the new rates, new rhythms, new volume, and so everything’s new.

   When the word “new” happens, I will be highly sensitive and concerned about the root zone is very concerned about this “new” K-lines generated by high and low points, which represent the key unit of time within the two poles: one strong and weak forces brewing process of the limit of where the long-short, if immediate deduction in accordance with relevant logic, and the pole to break, then the breakthrough point, or appearance shall Admission signals; while the other pole will automatically become the correct position, as the wrong remedy.

   Identify the interest-bearing line

   The composition of all the technical graphics are the deduction comes from the K-line, and we removed the key to noise and find the attitude of conversion and the strength of money in the process of brewing Flanagan K-line core. This approach lies at the core to simplify, recognizing that it will be a holographic line, implies decide the future of some important information graphics and logical values, through its understanding and explained the logic, we can find the earliest opportunity, and will error limited to a range.

   While we stress the simplification of requirements in order to chart the basic unit of center, but not to weaken the major graphic to explain, just want to zoom in and attention to the basic unit of information contained in the.

   The above is my basic understanding that the analysis of the chart. Be pointed out that the “new” is not equivalent to “change” or “different”, which from an operational point of view of technical analysis required the use of persons, not to Italy, not to will, to see around corners, but it should not be attempted by the differences involved, to avoid falling into the trap of change.